The political death of Modi…

fake-2355686_12802002.
Gujarat goes to polls amidst the cloud of Godhra.
Forecast: Modi is finished!

2007.
Gujarat goes to the polls in the “absence of polarization”.
Forecast: Modi is finished!

2009.
Gujarat: Congress wins 15 MPs in Gujarat, BJP 11.
Forecast: Modi is finished!

2013.
Modi made campaign chief and decks cleared to become Prime Ministerial candidate.
Forecast: Modi is finished!

2015.
BJP royally plastered in Bihar and Delhi.
Forecast: Modi is finished!

2017.
BJP gets landslide in Himachal Pradesh but wins narrowly in Gujarat.
Forecast: Modi is finished!

india-get-166300_1280The reports of my political death are grossly exaggerated.
—Modi.
(Coming soon: How 2019 will end the Modi story)

© Sunil Rajguru

Modi is now the biggest electoral success after Nehru and Indira and may one day overtake them…

borders-2099205_1280Modi’s electoral performance in terms of size of electorate (population) where the BJP was in power or the opposition or at least had an outside chance to win…

1. Lok Sabha 2014 — Won.

2. Uttar Pradesh 2017 — Won.

3. Maharashtra 2014 — Won.

4. Bihar 2015 — Lost but converted to “Won” in 2017.

5. Madhya Pradesh 2013 — Won.

6. Rajasthan 2013 — Won.

7. Gujarat 2017 — Won.

8. Gujarat 2012 — Won.

9. Gujarat 2007 — Won.

10. Gujarat 2002 — Won.

11. Jharkhand 2014 — Won.

12. Assam 2016 — Won.

13. Chhattisgarh 2013 — Won.

14. Haryana 2014 — Won.

15. J&K 2014 — Won.

16. Uttarakhand 2017 — Won.

17. Himachal Pradesh 2017 — Won.

18. Manipur  2017 — Won by default.

19. Goa 2017 — Won by default.

20. The biggest defeat of his career and his absolute annihilation is Delhi. Kejriwal got a whopping 67/70 seats. But here’s the thing. Delhi is the 30th largest province of India by population and the Chief Minister there is a glorified mayor.

parliament-2028311_640Note: BJP has no presence in States like Tamil Nadu, West Bengal and Kerala and is a junior partner in States like Andhra Pradesh and Punjab. But even that is changing.

Curious for a man who has won almost all his biggest challenges and lost some of his smaller ones is always on test for the mainstream media for his abilities and he will still be attacked in 2019.

© Sunil Rajguru

The spectacular international Rajyog of Narendra Modi

bright-1866986_640There is a concept in India called Rajyog, a period in which a king will reign and flourish, while all his enemies will perish. Those who ally with him will prosper and those oppose him will bite the dust.

Narendra Modi saw a spectacular rise from 2012–14 during which he won almost every State Assembly election he campaigned for and he made Prime Minister of India by reducing a party which had ruled much of India to a record low and abysmal 44/543 seats (8%) in Parliament while he led his Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) to 282 seats in the May 2014 general elections.

All his regional rivals perished one by one but when he looked at the international stage, the same thing started happening there too. Probably his biggest regional rival when he took over was Sri Lankan President Mahinda Rajapaksa. India first backed the dreaded LTTE (Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam) and then fought them with disastrous results, losing a war and then former Prime Minister Rajiv Gandhi.

Rajapaksa beat the LTTE and then warmed up to China, much to the chagrin of India who looked on helplessly. When Modi took over, Rajapaksa was at his peak and looked good to win in 2015 and rule till 2020. And then in January 2015, out of the blue, Rajapaksa lost. Absolutely nobody saw that coming. Rajapaksa tried to be Prime Minister the same year, but lost that too. The new Sri Lanka leadership is much more amenable to working with Modi and is not openly baiting Modi the way Rajapaksa was.

israel-2131247_640India was a rare non-Muslim country which opposed the creation of Israel in the United Nations and did nothing to mend ties with that country till 1991. Till 2014 the ties between the two countries got better and better but they didn’t create much fuss.

Then it all came out of the closet after Modi took over and he and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu formed a mutual admiration society and started praising each other and promising everyone their ties would be taken to the next level.

A few months after Rajapaksa was defeated, Netanyahu went to the polls and the consensus was that he would be defeated. In a surprise verdict he wasn’t. Against all odds, he emerged triumphant and now he and Modi are seriously cementing ties between India and Israel.

A few months after Netanyahu’s victory, there were elections in the United Kingdom. David Miliband is a good friend of Modi’s rival and Congress Vice President Rahul Gandhi. When David visited Rahul, the two spent the night in a Dalit’s hut in an Uttar Pradesh village. Rahul also posted photos of the two on social media when they met in Aspen.

Prime Minister David Cameron on the other hand seemed more aligned with Modi. #AbKiBaarModiSarkaar (This time a Modi government) was a catchy slogan of the 2014 polls. When Cameron met an Indian journalist, he said #AbKiBaarCameronSarkaar! In the UK elections Cameron was either supposed to lose or a hung Parliament was to favour Labour led by David’s brother Ed Miliband.

In a shocker, Cameron thrashed Miliband 330–232 as the former did well even in Labour bastions and the latter was forced to retire. Another friend of Modi had won a surprising victory. Another Modi catchy slogan was #AccheDin (Good days). When Cameron stood with Modi in Wembley Stadium, he declared, “Acche din zaroor aayenge” (Good days will definitely come)

Then Theresa May replaced Cameron and surprisingly she started moving Left and away from both the ideologies of Modi and US President Donald Trump and she is quite on shaky ground.

Talking of Trump and the US Presidential elections. Democratic hopeful Hillary Clinton could be classified as a Modi hater. As Secretary of State, she ensured that US President Barack Obama was lukewarm to India.

hillary-41775_640Hillary has been a known Modi baiter and if she became US President, their ties would be quite rocky. While Trump has made a few digs about outsourcing, he has by and large been appreciative of the India story under Modi and praised him publicly on many occasions.

Modi and Trump have many things in common. Both are from the Right, have been attacked by the media, liberals and intellectuals. Both have a keen business sense and are straight talkers.

Read: Eerie similarities between reactions to Modi and Trump…

There is no doubt that Modi would have rather done business with Trump rather than Hillary. And guess what? Before the campaign began in 2015, most analysts said that Trump would not even make it to the Top 5 in the Republican race and Hillary would clinch her nomination in no time. Well Trump officially secured his nomination before Hillary and then thrashed her in the polls.

donald-trump-2005343_640Today Trump will be regularly found rubbishing Pakistan and praising Modi. Trump is growing more powerful by the day no matter what his haters are trying to tell you. Most world leaders have already warmed up to Modi. Even Trump’s predecessor Obama is a fan and actually installed a White House hotline with India. At a meet long ago he ran up to Modi, got hold of his hands and declared, “You’re the man!”

The two got together and revived the almost dead Indo-US nuclear deal. Modi surprised everyone by inviting Obama to be chief guest at India’s Republic Day parade in 2015. Obama surprised everyone by accepting the decision almost immediately.

While Saudi Arabia and Pakistan have had good ties for decades, no Pakistani head of State got the highest civilian honour, but it was bestowed on Modi. With that he joined an elite group of international leaders who had won that award. While America-Israel-Saudi Arabia is forming a troika in West Asia and isolating everyone there, India needn’t worry because it has excellent relations with all three.

Modi then got Afghanistan’s top civilian honour too. And to think he was dismissed as anti-Muslim once upon a time! Underworld Dawood Ibrahim operated with impunity in Karachi, but after Modi came to power, he may have been shifted to the border (if he’s not already dead) and his assets have been neutralized in Dubai because even UAE is warming up to Modi!

When Russian President Vladimir Putin was facing problems with Turkey, he asked Modi whether he could pick up Turkey’s business in case of a crisis. While a Russia-Turkey patch-up is underway, Putin still wants a special relationship with Modi.

abe-shinzo-867817_1280Japan Prime Minister Shinzo Abe follows very few people on Twitter. The third person he followed was Modi. It is difficult to believe that Modi was an unknown quantity on the world stage till 2014. After Abe signed a Bullet Train with Modi, he also got a surprise victory at the hustings. He has completed 5 years in office, a rarity for Japan premiership wracked by non-stop resignations.

In a Rajyog your friends do well and your rivals don’t. In the 2014 elections the previous Congress low was 114 seats in 1999 but with 44 in 2014 they couldn’t even officially claim the Leader of the Opposition status in the Lok Sabha. The next largest party was the ADMK and its leader Jayalalithaa died unfortunately but her successor Sasikala was convicted. A post-Sasikala ADMK has warmed up to Modi. After that comes the TMC and its leader Mamata Baneerjee too is under a cloud in the Saradha scam case and a total law and order break-down in West Bengal.

JDU’s Nitish Kumar split with the BJP and actually won the Bihar elections in 2015, but he was also forced to return to the BJP despite being a Modi hater once upon a time. The Shiv Sena allied with the BJP in Maharashtra but keeps attacking Modi and is getting weaker in the State. In fact in the recent statewide rural elections, BJP came first and the Congress distant second. Sena was behind the Congress!

india-712575_1920Andhra Pradesh Chief Minister Chandrabau Naidu warmed up to Modi and saw a surprise victory in 2014. New Delhi Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal may have beaten Modi in Delhi, but he stands totally neutralized at the national level. From 1947-2013, the Congress had the most MLAs in India save for a brief period in 1977-1980 when the Janata Party went ahead, but they weren’t really single party but a coalition.

Modi took over as campaign chief in 2013 and for the first time ever the BJP overtook the Congress in 2015. It didn’t stop there. Today the Congress has around 800 MLAs while the BJP is in the region of 1400. It’s a no contest and that’s one factor hardly highlighted by the media. In fact in the Top 15 Indian States by population, Congress rules only 1, unprecedented for the Grand Old Party. If they lose Karnataka in 2018, it may be Game Over for them.

narendra-modi-2112081_640Modi is supreme in India and has no rival. On the world stage he stands tall too.

It is only the Indian mainstream media, Civil Society  and so called intellectuals who is trying to create a fake narrative that he is on shaky ground and faces tests every day and they are coming out with fake campaigns like the one related to intolerance.

Meanwhile, the spectacular Rajyog of Modi marches on!

(This is an updated version of an article that first appeared in June 2016)

The spectacular rise and rise of Pappu…

profits-1953616_19202003: Armed with qualifications from Harvard and Cambridge he is a total no-one in politics.

2004: Enters politics and immediately becomes Lok Sabha MP in his very first attempt.

2007: Triple whammy! Promoted to Congress General Secretary, Chairperson of Indian Youth Congress and National Students Union of India!

2009: His magic leads to a whopping 42% growth of the Congress in the Lok Sabha: Great future hope for the media, intellectuals and Civil Society of India.

2013: Promoted to Congress Vice President by his sheer hard work and daring.

2017: Promoted to Congress President unanimously with no other option even remotely in sight.

2019: Presumptive official Prime Ministerial candidate of the Congress for the general elections and will still be the Great Hope for the anti-Modi brigade.

2024: Doesn’t matter what happens in 2019, for many he will still be the knight in shining armour if he should still happen to be around in this year or 2029 or 2034 or…

© Sunil Rajguru

How they are going to absolutely thrash Narendra Modi in the 2019 general elections…

fist-1561157_6402002: The grand strategy of Civil Society, liberals, intellectuals and Leftist media…
Hey! Let’s totally demonize Modi, attack him 24X7, plant fake stories round the clock, blame him for ALL the ills of Gujarat and abuse all his supporters!
Result: Modi wins Gujarat.

2007: The grand strategy of Civil Society, liberals, intellectuals and Leftist media…
Hey! Let’s totally demonize Modi, attack him 24X7, plant fake stories round the clock, blame him for ALL the ills of Gujarat and abuse all his supporters!
Result: Modi wins Gujarat again.

2013: The grand strategy of Civil Society, liberals, intellectuals and Leftist media…
Hey! Let’s totally demonize Modi, attack him 24X7, plant fake stories round the clock, blame him for ALL the ills of Gujarat and abuse all his supporters!
Result: Modi leads BJP to landslides in Assembly elections.

2014: The grand strategy of Civil Society, liberals, intellectuals and Leftist media…
Hey! Let’s totally demonize Modi, attack him 24X7, plant fake stories round the clock, blame him for ALL the ills of Gujarat and abuse all his supporters!
Result: Modi gets greatest BJP mandate in the history of Independent India.

2014-17: The grand strategy of the Opposition, Civil Society, liberals, intellectuals and Leftist media…
Hey! Let’s totally demonize Modi, attack him 24X7, plant fake stories round the clock, blame him for ALL the ills of India and abuse all his supporters!
Result: Modi wins most of the Assembly polls with a crushing victory in Uttar Pradesh being the icing on the cake.

2017-19: The grand strategy of the Opposition, Civil Society, liberals, intellectuals and Leftist media…
Hey! Let’s totally demonize Modi, attack him 24X7, plant fake stories round the clock, blame him for ALL the ills of India and abuse all his supporters!
Result: Hmmm!!! Now I wonder what the result of 2019 could be?!?

© Sunil Rajguru

But they say India is not secular…

india-2131238_640India was ruled for 17 years by a Hindu who hated being a Hindu. (Nehru)

Ruled for 15 years by a Hindu married to a Parsi with Muslim heritage. (Indira)

Ruled for 5 years by a Hindu with Parsi-Muslim heritage. (Rajiv)

Ruled for 10 years by a Sikh controlled by a Christian. (Manmohan-Sonia)

India is the most secular country in the world and yet many are bent on maligning it.

© Sunil Rajguru

Indian Presidential election musings…

ballot-1294935_640The President’s post is a formality.
Kovind’s election is a formality.
Yet we are wasting so much time discussing it.

1947: Jagjivan Ram is Labour Minister.
70 years later…
2017: Jagjivan Ram’s daughter is candidate for President.
Congress: Doomed to live in the past.

1. DynasT.
2. LoyalT (to the DynasT of course).
The only 2 Ts that work in the Congress party.

It would have been great if Advani became either Prime Minister or President.
But he is already 89.
He should be happy that he saw a BJP 272+ mandate and BJP President in his lifetime.
He laid the foundations.

2014, Advani looks at Modi and thinks…
Kaash main hota!
2017, Advani looks at Kovind and thinks…
Kaash kam se kam yahi mujhe milta!

These versions by Sunil Rajguru

When Modi surprised everyone with Kovind

questions-1922476_640Past.
The entire media and liberal ecosystem didn’t have the foggiest idea that Modi would win.
Present.
The entire media and liberal ecosystem doesn’t have the foggiest idea what Modi is doing.

If the common man hasn’t heard of Ram Nath Kovind, it’s OK.
But for a journalist or politician to boast he or she hasn’t heard of a 2-time Rajya Sabha MP and national spokesperson turned Bihar Governor is quite ridiculous.

Modi aage kya karne waala hain, isko samajhna mushkil hi nahin, naamumkin hai.
#SurgicalStrike #DeMo #UPYogi #RamNathKovind

From 1947-2017, every President of India has either been Congress, ex-Congress or Independent.
#RamNathKovind set to make history.

BJP Lok Sabha.
BJP President.
BJP Vice President and Rajya Sabha chief.
Majority BJP+ States.
Modi is just getting started.

BJP Lok Sabha.
BJP President.
BJP Vice President and Rajya Sabha chief.
Majority BJP+ States.
Modi is just getting started.

Who should be the next President of India?
Best thing would be to introduce amendment to abolish this useless ceremonial post and save money.

10 issues on which the Right wants more urgency from Modi…

narendra-modi-2112081_640A lot of people had great expectations from Prime Minister Narendra Modi when he took charge way back in 2014. For some he has already delivered in terms of streamlining the bureaucracy, lifting up foreign policy, implementing OROP, roadmaking and power augmentation.

Modi haters will never be satisfied with him though. But another unsatisfied group is the Right. The Left-wing media will tell you they are a hardline rabid group, but that is far from the truth. There is the Cultural Right. The Economic Right. The Political Right. The Hindu Right.

The Left in India has totally suppressed all voices from the Right for decades, but such groups are finally making their voices heard. Here are some issues which the Right wants more urgency from Modi…

brihadishvara-2358280_6401. Hindu temples autonomy: India is a strange country where the minorities have more rights than the majority. It’s difficult to see any other country with such an equation and still we have debates over intolerance and the demonization of the majority religion.
Churches and mosques have a much greater autonomy but not Hindu temples. In fact a combination of commissions and legislation has meant that governments are more and more taking over the running temples.

Why should the government take over temples in the first place? Specific legislation is required in Parliament to grant Hindu temples complete autonomy and that’s something only Modi can do via the relevant bills.

2. Greater support for Indic and Hindu studies: The British had a view of India and that reflected in our history books and textbooks. The British left but the view continued. The Communists perpetuated these myths. (In fact, paradoxically, Hindu culture itself is called mythology!)
When I passed out of school and started reading a lot more on history I always wondered why there was so much focus on Communism, the Mughals and the British worldview. Hindu empires and achievements for some reason were downplayed.

We need a complete revamp of our history textbooks, have more government funding into our history by academicians sharing an Indic worldview and not a Western one. While a move is on by the government, it’s already going to be two years since Modi took over.

school-298680_6403. Repeal of RTE: The Right To Education is a very fancy sounding word. It implies education to each and every child in India. That would actually mean revamping all our government schools and introducing thousands more. Nothing of the sort has happened. RTE should actually be renamed to “Reservation of Students in Private Hindu Schools” for that is what it is. The RTE is inadequate and riddled with contradictions.

Again minority institutions, which flourished thanks to the British legacy, have been kept out of the ambit.

4. Implementing a Uniform Civil Code: This would automatically cover things like temple autonomy and RTE. There is also a desperate need for boosting the rights of Muslim women in India. Maybe the UCC’s time has finally come, but curiously it is the Supreme Court which seems more active on the issue than Modi.

But the UCC seems to be totally off the table. Numbers in the Rajya Sabha may have a big deal to do with it. But there’s very little chance of the BJP getting 51% of the Upper House on its own till 2020 and that too if all things go well.

Interestingly Arun Shourie is a rare political leader who has written in detail about both Muslim and Hindu issues and people have failed to find holes in his arguments, but he finds himself a pariah in the new dispensation.

kashmir-boat-642167_6405. Abolishing Article 370: This grants special status to the State of Jammu & Kashmir and is quite controversial. Father of the Constitution Babasaheb Ambedkar fought against it and Bharatiya Jana Sangh (the precursor to the BJP) founder Syama Prasad Mukherjee died mysteriously in Kashmir opposing it.

AB Vajpayee as Prime Minister could do nothing and many thought Modi would be the first to do something here. But that’s unlikely. Apart from numbers in the Rajya Sabha, the PDP (a party which will never ever even discuss the scrapping of 370) is their partner in J&K. But forget any amendments; there doesn’t even seem to be a debate on it.

6. Pushing for Ram Mandir: Modi did make religious references in the 2002 Gujarat Assembly campaign, but from the 2007 one he has been toning himself down and talked only governance and development in 2014.

It is doubtful that he will upset the apple cart by touching this controversial topic. Moreover the case is now in the Supreme Court. In fact it is BJP leader Subramanian Swamy who has been the most vocal on this issue and not Modi.

blur-1853262_6407. Pace of economic reforms: Rajiv Gandhi looked to be Right leaning but India first turned Right economically under PV Narasimha Rao and his good work was carried forward by AB Vajpayee. However Congress President Sonia Gandhi did a U-turn and went full Left. While Modi has turned Right again, many are not satisfied with the pace of reforms. The industry and middle class would like to see more action on the economic front.

8. Being more tough on the Dynasty: Nehru was the first great Leftist. Sonia took that forward with a vengeance. Rahul looks to carry forward the Nehru-Sonia legacy. Thanks to the colossal amount of scams in UPA2, a lot of people thought Congress leaders would be in jail by now and the legacy would be finished.

However nothing of the sort has happened so far. Sonia is facing National Herald woes thanks to Swamy and not Modi. No concrete action has been taken against her son-in-law Robert Vadra who has many allegations against him.

The AugustaWestland scam names Sonia, her right hand Ahmed Patel and former Prime Minister Manmohan Singh. It remains to be seen whether Modi finally nails all of them or lets them get away.

incense-2318953_6409. Promoting Hinduism directly: While Modi wears his religion on his sleeve and is undoubtedly pro-Hindu, he still has not brought in strong legislation related to protecting Hinduism. Even on things like the beef ban, Congress governments did the actual implantation in the past and courts today are more pro-active.

Vajpayee wore a mask and LK Advani praised Jinnah’s secularism. What Modi does remains to be seen but the RSS-VHP is getting impatient.

press-899477_64010. Taking on the mainstream media: Since Modi and the MSM have been such vicious adversaries; Modi was expected to take action against the alleged misdeeds of the media houses. The media leans firmly Left and social media space is free and independent and naturally leans Right. That could be because the Right has been suppressed now and most of the people in India lean Right and not Left.

Nothing of the sort has happened. Modi continues to ignore most of the media while other BJP leaders keep visiting the studios of the very news channels that abhor them and insult them so much. Raids on NDTV have begun, but it remains to be seen if anything concrete happens.

General political musings…

nehru-2361331_640Great great grandson of Motilal, great grandson of Nehru, grandson of Indira and son of Rajiv-Sonia blasts dynastic politics in Telangana.

With the way they are still being unearthed, if Modi wins in 2019, then I have a feeling that we will still be discussing UPA scams till 2024

Politics is the only place where education is irrelevant.
Delhi CM is an IITian.
Bihar Dy CM is 9th pass.
Both are equally useless.

1984: Rajiv takes charge.
1986: Bofors.
1999: Vajpayee re-elected.
2001: Operation West End.
2009: Manmohan re-elected.
2011: August Kranti.
Modi escapes 2-year itch.

In 1990 Lalu became Bihar Chief Minister and immediately brought in Jungle Raj and became the worst politician.
After 27 years he is still being “raided” and “charged” and ruling Bihar quite comfortably.

Tea Party kicked Angrez out of American politics.
Beef Party will kick out Congrez from Indian politics.

These versions by Sunil Rajguru

The curious case of Congress and cow slaughter

cow-2216918_640Congressmen Bal Gangadhar Tilak, Lala Lajpat Rai and Madan Mohan Malviya promised cow slaughter ban.

Congressman “Father of the nation” Mahatma Gandhi promised cow slaughter ban.

Congressman “First Prime Minister” Jawaharlal Nehru promised cow slaughter ban.

Congressman “First India President” Rajendra Prasad promised cow slaughter ban.

Congress put cow slaughter ban in the Directive Principles of State Policy.

Congress brought in some sort of cow slaughter legislation in 20 States.

Congress symbol before “Hand” was “Cow and calf”.

Now suddenly the Congress wants to slaughter cows on the streets and has dubbed the whole cow slaughter ban business as a sole Hindutva-Sanghi-BJP hardline intolerant affair.

The truth about the Congress party…

india-1293882_640Netaji gave us Independence.
Patel unified India.
Shastri laid foundations of modern India.
Rao reformed economics and foreign policy.
#GandhiNehruSham

The man with no spine…
Rao: Bring in reforms.
Manmohan: Yes, sir.
Sonia: Destroy the country.
Manmohan: Yes, madam.

#RememberingRajiv
Bofors
Anti-Sikh riots
Bhopal tragedy
Shah Bano
LTTE mess
Defamation Bill
HDW scam
Black money
KGB links
Crony capitalism
Gift of Sonia to the nation

These versions by Sunil Rajguru