5 reasons why the 2018 US mid-term election results were great…

31. The new ruling triumvirate shares power perfectly: Trump is a Republican but he could well be an Independent with a mind of his own. There were a huge swathe of Republican Anti Trumpers in 2015 and they have been reducing by the day, though they haven’t fully gone. So there are actually three power entities in America and not two: Trump, the Republicans and the Democrats.

And lo behold! The troika now share power and can check each other…
Trump has the White House.
The Republicans have the Senate.
The Democrats have the House.

smiley-2616203_960_7202. Tensions have been greatly reduced: The Dems lost sudden power in 2016 and went unhinged. Since then they have been spouting nonsense from the rooftops 24X7 and backing all manner of violent protests. Had they got nothing in 2018, then they would have gone one step beyond unhinged.

But now they have some power and hence some responsibility. They will continue to oppose Trump 24X7 but at the same time they will have to show some results via the House by 2020 and also focus within for the 2020 Presidential race.

handshake-440959_960_7203. Middle ground issues may finally be worked on: The media has pushed the accelerator on the polarization button and it seemed that there was no common ground for the Democrats and Republicans. Both the issues they are seeking became polarized too.

But now Trump will have to mediate and seek the middle ground to and get some results especially in terms of things like immigrations and healthcare. Obama ruled by executive decree alone antagonizing Congress and that’s why none of his legacies have lasted. Trump will now have to work with both parties but.

scared-2175161_960_7204. No real shock this time: Global citizens are reeling from failed predictions and things that were impossible actually happening. Trump can’t win! Brexit can’t happen. The Right cannot gain prominence in Europe! Even in India, nobody saw Narendra Modi’s BJP getting 272+ in early 2014 or BJP conquering state after state in the years after that.

But here the predictions actually went along predicted lines where the Democrats were slated to capture the House and the Republicans the Senate and Trump not losing much ground.

trump-2023751_960_7205. Growing interest in politics continues: Just 36.4% people voted in the 2014 US mid-terms, which was touted to be the lowest turnout in 70 years. However after that the 2016 US elections were probably the most followed ever.

Well the numbers continue and more than 100 million voted for the 2018 mid-terms. World over interest in politics is increasing and that’s a good sign.

Of exits and referendums…

westminster-1472807_640Going in circles…
2014: Scottish referendum.
2015: General elections.
2016: Brexit.
2017: General elections.
2018: Another Scottish referendum or general election or Brexit referendum?

So Spain joins in the party.
#CataloniaExit #CatExit
Europe seems to be steadily disintegrating.

2014: Scottish Exit fails.
2015: Cameron wins surprisingly.
Conservatives: Stability is boring. Kucch toofani karte hai!
2016: Brexit.
2017: Snap poll.
Bang! Hello darkness my old friend!

These versions by Sunil Rajguru

The leader with the most Twitter followers shalt win

twitter-848528_640Nowadays in democracies, Twitter seems to be playing a great role and whoever with the most Twitter followers simply wins the elections and consolidates after that. It’s almost a cent per cent record.

First take the case of US President Barack Obama (https://twitter.com/BarackObama). At around 75 million followers he is in a league of his own. But in 2008 he was a rank non-entity and he was supposed to stand absolutely no chance against Hillary Clinton. But Hillary wasn’t even on Twitter then and was soundly thrashed by Obama who debuted on Twitter in 2007 a year after its launch.

Obama thrashed Mitt Romney (https://twitter.com/MittRomney) who after being on Twitter for a good seven years is yet to cross the 2 million mark. This year’s US Presidential race saw no surprises too.

Hillary (https://twitter.com/HillaryClinton) beat Bernie Sanders (https://twitter.com/berniesanders) on Twitter by 7.2 million to 2.7 million. The same thing happened in the offline world and Hillary got the Democratic ticket.

Absolutely nobody gave Donald Trump a chance in the Republican race with many saying he wouldn’t even make it to the Top 5. But on Twitter he (https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump) thrashes Ted Cruz (https://twitter.com/tedcruz) by 9.4 million to 1.3 million, again a no contest which played itself out in the offline world.

Now also the mainstream media is staunchly behind Hillary, but it is usually social media which proves to be the deciding factor in the end. Trump is way ahead on the Twitter count, so you can’t count him out!

The Number 2 global politician on Twitter is Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi (@narendramodi) with 20.6 million followers. His rival Rahul Gandhi wasn’t even on Twitter. That also showed in the offline world when Modi’s BJP thrashed Rahul’s Congress by a whopping seat margin of 282-44 in the Parliamentary elections.

Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono (@SBYudhoyono) has 9.1 million followers and he won his two Indonesian Presidential terms. Recep Tayyip Erdoğan (@RT_Erdogan) has 8.5 followers and he has been Prime Minister/President of Turkey since 2003.

Premiers David Cameron of UK and Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel were predicted by the mainstream media of losing their respective elections, but they won. Not surprisingly they are Twitter leaders in their political worlds.

Most of the politicians are national leaders, but regional head honcho and New Delhi Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal (@ArvindKejriwal) is biggie in the Twitter world with 8.1 million followers and that’s why he won 67/70 Assembly seats in the 2015 Delhi elections!

So whenever you want to watch a democratic election keep your eyes firmly on the Twitter followers of every leader, for it appears that the latest commandment is…

The leader with the most Twitter followers shalt win!

© Sunil Rajguru

Remixed election jingles for the Yuvraj…

The last couple of decades have thrown many an election jingle…

Here are the Rahul Gandhi remix versions of the same…

Na billi hain na parcha hai,
Bas Rahul ka hi charcha hain,
Par ye kya wakayi accha hai?
Kyunki ye to baccha hain,
Uska soch bhi kuch kaccha hai,
Ye sab solaah aane saccha hai…

Jab tak suraj chand rahega,
Bhrashtachar tera naam rahega,
Rahul beta tu kya karega?

Rahul hai aur Gandhi hai,
Chai ke pyaale main aandhi hai.

Rahul ka haath,
Aam aadmi ke saath,
Maro Manmohan ko laat,
Aur lagao desh ki waat.

Rahul ko lana hai,
Congress ko bachana hai,
Bhale hi desh ko marwana hai.

Manmohan hatao, Rahul lao,
Desh ko dubao, mewa khao,
Congress log naacho, kudo aur gaao.

Koi jaat, koi biradar,
Congress main sabhi barabar,

Unless you’re in the Gandhi biradar.

Aadhi roti hawa main,
Rahul Gandhi tawa pe,
Kya ye desh ki dawa hai?
Abbe kya tu daaru pee ke pada hai?

These jingle versions by Sunil Rajguru

Post Assembly poll filmi musings…

Mamata: Guzaarish hai ki mere paas Railways rahe.
Sonia: Hmmm… waise bhi tumne Railways ko Guzaarish ka Hrithik bana ke chhod diya!
West Bengal: Arre! Guzaarish ka Hirthik to hum ban ke raha gaye 34 saal main!
Mamata kya hai, koi na jaane…
Dawa hai ya
Jald pata chalega…

Jaya: Ab yahan ke hum Sikander, chahe to kar le Karuna, Kani wagere ko apne jail ke andar…

Buddha: Hum Dono Ghayal ho gaye re!
Karuna: Chinta mat kar, Indian voter ko Ghajini ki tarah short term memory loss hai, agle elections tak sab bhool jaayenge.
Buddha: Sahi re! Kabhi Alvida Naa Kehna!

Prakash Karat, Sitaram Yechuri and Buddhadeb decided to unwind in India Coffee House.
They were discussing Bollywood films.
A bearer came and was asked, 3 Idiots dekha kya?”
The bearer replied, “Wohi to dekh raha hu abhi!”

Sonia Gandhi at the Centre.
Jayalalitha from the South.
Mayawati and Shiela Dixit from the North.
Mamata Banerjee from the East.
Pratibha Patil from the West.
Now Showing: Mother India

Now showing in Chennai for 20 years and running…
Kabhi Karuna Kabhi Amma

Golmaal 1: Adarsh
Golmaal 2:
Golmaal 3:
Coming soon: Golmaal 4, will be released before the 2012 elections.

Singh is King gaya tel lene…
Ab bolo…
Amma is Queen
Didi is Queen


Congress to DMK: Hum Aapke Hain Kaun?

Now Showing in Kolkata…
My Name is Communist
(And I am not a failure!)

Coming in 2012
Voters: The Chase Begins Again

© Sunil Rajguru

More Assembly poll musings…

∙ The ABCD of Tamil Nadu politics…
B for BJP.
C for Congress.
D for DMK.
Key: Congress aur BJP gaye tel lene.
Hum log permanent A/D alternating current se hi kaam chala lenge.

∙ The Political Traffic Signal of West Bengal has turned Green.
But has the Development Traffic Signal just turned Red?

The Congress Election Campaign in Karnataka is poised to enter its fourth year next month.
The Centre may extend BSY’s term even after 5 years if he is not toppled by then.
(Hum usko gira ke hi rahenge… term expiry is not enough)
P.S. BSY has also emerged as India’s Most Trusted politician.
(Aur kisi ne itne Trust Votes survive kiye hai?)

© Sunil Rajguru